NVILE forecast ·
Cisco (CSCO) Stock Forecast: Next 30 Days
Over the next 30 days, Cisco (CSCO) has an 80% calibrated range between $87.52 and $119.47. The primary swing factor is earnings on 2026-11-12, where typical one-session moves average 4.6%, though options price an implied move of ~9.6%. The model indicates an 18% probability of dropping over 10% and a 24% probability of rising over 10%, with a 25% chance of a >10% move on results day alone.
Price now
$101.61
Nov 2, 2026
In 30 days
$102.25
NVILE forecast
Expected move
+0.6%
Range
$87.52–$119.47
What to do
- Avoid directional positioning solely on expected values given symmetrical event-distribution dispersion.Historical prices alone lack 30-day directional predictive power, and the 80% range spans $87.52 to $119.47.
- Hedge or size exposure specifically for the November 12 earnings announcement.Options imply a 9.6% move and model indicates a 25% probability of a single-day swing exceeding 10%.
Why
- CSCO's 80% calibrated range over 30 days spans $87.52 to $119.47 around its November 12 earnings event.
- Consensus 12-month target averages $136.16 (range $110-$170), though 90-day insider activity reflects three open-market sales totaling $0.30M and zero purchases.[2],[4]
- FINRA short-sale volume reached 47.3% of reported volume on 2026-11-02, up from a 20-session average of 36.8%.[3]
- Fiscal 2027 demand is expected to remain a primary operational driver, balanced by customer concentration risks noted in SEC filings.[1]
- Options markets are pricing a 9.6% move around the upcoming November 12 earnings report.[4]
What could go wrong
- Elevated pre-earnings volatility carries a 25% probability of a single-day move exceeding 10% on results day.
- Elevated daily short volume above 47% reflects expanding near-term speculative positioning or dealer hedging.[3]
How it connects
- Cisco Systems, Inc.trades common stock onNasdaq Global Select Market[1]
- Mark Pattersonserves as EVP and CFO of and sold 1,795 shares ofCisco Systems, Inc.[2]
- Oliver Tuszikserves as EVP Global Sales of and sold 680 shares ofCisco Systems, Inc.[2]
- Thimaya K. Subaiyaserves as EVP Operations of and sold 312 shares ofCisco Systems, Inc.[2]
- Securities and Exchange Commissionreceives mandatory regulatory disclosures fromCisco Systems, Inc.[2],[5],[1]
- Financial Industry Regulatory Authoritytracks daily short-sale volume under Reg SHO forCisco Systems, Inc.[3]
NVILE's track record on this page
| Made | Forecast | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | $102.25 | Due Dec 3, 2026 | Pending |
Every published call is scored when it comes due. See all results →
Sources
- 1.CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. 10-K (2026-09-02) · sec.gov
- 2.CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. insider transactions (SEC Form 4) · sec.gov
- 3.CSCO daily short-sale volume (FINRA) · finra.org
- 4.CSCO Wall Street consensus: estimates, revisions, ratings, targets · finance.yahoo.com
- 5.CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. reported financials (SEC XBRL) · sec.gov
Questions
What is the Cisco forecast for the next 30 days?
NVILE's models put Cisco at about $102.25 in 30 days, +0.6% from $101.61. Over the next 30 days, Cisco (CSCO) has an 80% calibrated range between $87.52 and $119.47. The primary swing factor is earnings on 2026-11-12, where typical one-session moves average 4.6%, though options price an implied move of ~9.6%. The model indicates an 18% probability of dropping over 10% and a 24% probability of rising over 10%, with a 25% chance of a >10% move on results day alone.
What price range does NVILE expect for Cisco?
The forecast range is $87.52 to $119.47 over 30 days. Prices outside this range are possible; the range describes the model's scenarios, not a guarantee.
What could change the Cisco outlook?
Elevated pre-earnings volatility carries a 25% probability of a single-day move exceeding 10% on results day. Elevated daily short volume above 47% reflects expanding near-term speculative positioning or dealer hedging.
What should investors watch or do about Cisco?
Avoid directional positioning solely on expected values given symmetrical event-distribution dispersion. Hedge or size exposure specifically for the November 12 earnings announcement.
How accurate are NVILE forecasts?
Every forecast NVILE publishes is scored against the real price when it comes due, and the results are listed on NVILE's public accuracy ledger.
This page is generated by NVILE's research models from public sources and market data. It is not financial advice, and forecasts can be wrong.