NVILE forecast ·
Intuit (INTU) Stock Forecast: Next 30 Days
Over the next 30 days, INTU is expected to trade within an 80% calibrated range of $291.56 to $430.61 around its $352.10 baseline. Earnings on November 19, 2026, serve as the primary catalyst, carrying a typical one-session swing of 5.51% and a 22% chance of exceeding 10%. Options imply a 10.42% move. Forecast odds indicate a 23% probability of dropping >10% versus a 28% probability of rising >10%. Direction remains uncertain without tested directional skill.
Price now
$352.10
Nov 2, 2026
In 30 days
$354.33
NVILE forecast
Expected move
+0.6%
Range
$291.56–$430.61
What to do
- Structure defined-risk hedging around the November 19 earnings event.[4]Options imply a 10.42% swing and historical distribution indicates elevated single-day event tail risk.
- Calibrate position sizes to the wide $291.56 to $430.61 80% range.[4],[5]High dispersion reflects ongoing estimate cuts balanced against low comparative valuation multiples.
Why
- INTU's calibrated 80% price range spans $291.56 to $430.61 over 30 days, reflecting elevated pre-earnings volatility.
- Earnings on November 19, 2026, present a 22% likelihood of a >10% single-day move, with options pricing an implied 10.42% swing.[4]
- Consensus Wall Street 12-month target averages $407.76 (+15.8%), though 21 analysts revised current-quarter EPS downward over 30 days.[4]
- Scheduled earnings release on November 19, 2026, creates near-term event volatility with an average past reaction of 5.51%.[4]
- Negative revision momentum weighs on sentiment, with current-quarter EPS estimates cut 34.6% over 90 days and 21 downward cuts.[4]
What could go wrong
- Federal and state direct tax filing programs represent publicly funded competitive threats to core tax services.[3]
- Earnings day tail risk is elevated, with a 21.86% probability that results trigger an immediate move exceeding 10%.
How it connects
- Richard L. Dalzellsold 285 shares at $325.36 on 2026-09-08 as Director ofIntuit Inc.[2]
- U.S. Federal Governmentcompetes with direct public tax filing programs againstIntuit Inc.[3]
- FINRAmonitors short sale trade volume reports forIntuit Inc.[1]
- Securities and Exchange Commissionregulates annual reporting and insider filings ofIntuit Inc.[3],[2]
- Intuit Inc.trades common stock onNasdaq Global Select Market[3],[6]
- Financial Accounting Standards Boardgoverns treasury stock accounting standards under ASU 2025-12 forIntuit Inc.[3]
NVILE's track record on this page
| Made | Forecast | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | $354.33 | Due Dec 3, 2026 | Pending |
Every published call is scored when it comes due. See all results →
Sources
- 1.INTU daily short-sale volume (FINRA) · finra.org
- 2.INTUIT INC. insider transactions (SEC Form 4) · sec.gov
- 3.INTUIT INC. 10-K (2026-09-09) · sec.gov
- 4.INTU Wall Street consensus: estimates, revisions, ratings, targets · finance.yahoo.com
- 5.Intuit (INTU) Stock May Look Reasonable As Investor Day Backs AI Plans · finance.yahoo.com
- 6.Intuit (INTU) stock trades down, here is why · msn.com
Questions
What is the Intuit forecast for the next 30 days?
NVILE's models put Intuit at about $354.33 in 30 days, +0.6% from $352.10. Over the next 30 days, INTU is expected to trade within an 80% calibrated range of $291.56 to $430.61 around its $352.10 baseline. Earnings on November 19, 2026, serve as the primary catalyst, carrying a typical one-session swing of 5.51% and a 22% chance of exceeding 10%. Options imply a 10.42% move. Forecast odds indicate a 23% probability of dropping >10% versus a 28% probability of rising >10%. Direction remains uncertain without tested directional skill.
What price range does NVILE expect for Intuit?
The forecast range is $291.56 to $430.61 over 30 days. Prices outside this range are possible; the range describes the model's scenarios, not a guarantee.
What could change the Intuit outlook?
Federal and state direct tax filing programs represent publicly funded competitive threats to core tax services. Earnings day tail risk is elevated, with a 21.86% probability that results trigger an immediate move exceeding 10%.
What should investors watch or do about Intuit?
Structure defined-risk hedging around the November 19 earnings event. Calibrate position sizes to the wide $291.56 to $430.61 80% range.
How accurate are NVILE forecasts?
Every forecast NVILE publishes is scored against the real price when it comes due, and the results are listed on NVILE's public accuracy ledger.
This page is generated by NVILE's research models from public sources and market data. It is not financial advice, and forecasts can be wrong.