NVILE forecast ·

State Bank of India Share Price Forecast: Next 30 Days

Over the next 30 days, SBIN.NS is projected to trade within an 80% calibrated range of INR 904.19 to INR 1,091.06, centered around INR 993.24 from its latest price of INR 987.00. The Q2 FY27 earnings announcement on November 3, 2026, serves as the immediate catalyst, with typical historical earnings reactions averaging 1.11% and less than a 1% chance of an earnings-day move exceeding 10%. Over the 30-day horizon, the model estimates a 12% probability of a >10% gain and a 7% probability of a >10% decline. Independent brokerages maintain bullish 12-month targets averaging INR 1,255.41.

Price now

₹987.00

Nov 2, 2026

In 30 days

₹993.24

NVILE forecast

Expected move

+0.6%

Range

₹904.19–₹1,091

₹1,095₹1,001₹906.66Jun 24, 2026Today+30d

What to do

  • Manage position sizing ahead of Q2 FY27 results announcement on November 3.[3]Mitigates short-term event volatility while preserving exposure within the calibrated 30-day range of INR 904.19 to INR 1,091.06.
  • Establish downside protection around the INR 904 lower bound.[3]Protects capital against adverse post-earnings reactions or macroeconomic margin pressures.

Why

  • SBIN 30-day calibrated price distribution spans INR 904.19 to INR 1,091.06, with 12% odds of gaining over 10% and 7% odds of falling over 10%.
  • Q2 FY27 financial results scheduled for November 3, 2026, represent the primary short-term catalyst, with brokerages expecting profit growth up to 25.2%.[3]
  • Consensus 12-month analyst price target stands at INR 1,255.41, implying a 27.2% upside from the current INR 987 close.[4],[7]
  • Management guided for FY27 credit growth of 13% to 15%, driven by corporate loans, MSME, and retail segments.[2],[5],[8]
  • NII for Q2 FY27 is projected to rise 11% to 13% year-on-year, supported by domestic NIM expectations near 3%.[3],[5]

What could go wrong

  • Deposit mobilization pressures and rising cost of funds could compress domestic net interest margins below the 3% target guidance.[3],[5]
  • Earnings-day volatility could challenge short-term support if provisions or slippages exceed expectations.[3]

How it connects

  • India Ratings and Researchaffirms IND AAA/Stable rating on debt instruments ofState Bank of India[1]
  • Crisil Ratings Limitedevaluates credit quality and systemic importance ofState Bank of India[1]
  • Motilal Oswalmaintains Buy rating with target of INR 1,370 onState Bank of India[5]
  • Emkay Globalraised price target to INR 1,225 onState Bank of India[2]
  • Citilifted price target to INR 1,265 onState Bank of India[2]
  • Axis Securitiesissued buy recommendation onState Bank of India[10]
  • Bajaj Brokingissued short-term positional buy call onState Bank of India[6]
  • Central Board of SBImeets to approve Q2 FY27 financial results ofState Bank of India[3]
  • State Bank of Indiatrades shares under ticker SBIN onNational Stock Exchange of India[9]

NVILE's track record on this page

MadeForecastActualResult
Nov 2, 2026₹993.24Due Dec 2, 2026Pending
Oct 30, 2026₹967.93Due Nov 29, 2026Pending

Every published call is scored when it comes due. See all results →

Sources

  1. 1.[PDF] SHIMA DEVI - NSE · nsearchives.nseindia.com
  2. 2.India's SBI closes at record high on profit beat, upbeat loan growth ... · reuters.com
  3. 3.SBI Q2 Results Preview: PATmay rise up to 25% YoY; NII, margins, deposit growth in focus · economictimes.indiatimes.com
  4. 4.SBIN.NS Wall Street consensus: estimates, revisions, ratings, targets · finance.yahoo.com
  5. 5.State Bank of India: Motilal Oswal retains 'Buy', target at Rs 1,370; loan growth guidance at 14-15% · moneycontrol.com
  6. 6.State Bank of India – Target ₹965 in 30 Days - Bajaj Broking · bajajbroking.in
  7. 7.stockanalysis.com › quote › nseState Bank of India (NSE:SBIN) Statistics & Valuation Metrics · stockanalysis.com
  8. 8.[PDF] analyst meet - transcript - SBI Bank · sbi.bank.in
  9. 9.State Bank Of India · nseindia.com
  10. 10.sbin share News and Updates from The Economic Times - Page 1 · economictimes.indiatimes.com

Questions

What is the State Bank of India forecast for the next 30 days?

NVILE's models put State Bank of India at about ₹993.24 in 30 days, +0.6% from ₹987.00. Over the next 30 days, SBIN.NS is projected to trade within an 80% calibrated range of INR 904.19 to INR 1,091.06, centered around INR 993.24 from its latest price of INR 987.00. The Q2 FY27 earnings announcement on November 3, 2026, serves as the immediate catalyst, with typical historical earnings reactions averaging 1.11% and less than a 1% chance of an earnings-day move exceeding 10%. Over the 30-day horizon, the model estimates a 12% probability of a >10% gain and a 7% probability of a >10% decline. Independent brokerages maintain bullish 12-month targets averaging INR 1,255.41.

What price range does NVILE expect for State Bank of India?

The forecast range is ₹904.19 to ₹1,091 over 30 days. Prices outside this range are possible; the range describes the model's scenarios, not a guarantee.

What could change the State Bank of India outlook?

Deposit mobilization pressures and rising cost of funds could compress domestic net interest margins below the 3% target guidance. Earnings-day volatility could challenge short-term support if provisions or slippages exceed expectations.

What should investors watch or do about State Bank of India?

Manage position sizing ahead of Q2 FY27 results announcement on November 3. Establish downside protection around the INR 904 lower bound.

How accurate are NVILE forecasts?

Every forecast NVILE publishes is scored against the real price when it comes due, and the results are listed on NVILE's public accuracy ledger.

This page is generated by NVILE's research models from public sources and market data. It is not financial advice, and forecasts can be wrong.