NVILE forecast ·

Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Forecast: Next 30 Days

Over the next 30 days, Texas Instruments (TXN) has an estimated 80% price distribution range of $278.33 to $357.52, centered at $315.45 against a current price of $313.46. The calibrated model shows a 13% probability of a drop greater than 10% and an 18% probability of a rise exceeding 10%. With no directional skill inherent to price history alone, the outlook represents an event-volatility distribution rather than a guaranteed trajectory.

Price now

$313.46

Nov 3, 2026

In 30 days

$315.45

NVILE forecast

Expected move

+0.6%

Range

$278.33–$357.52

$356.18$305.43$254.67Jun 29, 2026Today+30d

What to do

  • Manage exposure within the calibrated 30-day boundariesSize positions to account for an 80% range between $278.33 and $357.52 rather than assuming directional continuation.
  • Hedge downside tail riskMaintain protective stops or options hedges to mitigate the 13% probability of a decline steeper than 10%.

Why

  • The calibrated 80% price distribution range over 30 days spans from $278.33 to $357.52, with an expected middle value of $315.45.
  • Odds of a price drop greater than 10% stand at 13%, while the odds of a rise over 10% are 18%.
  • Wall Street consensus reflects an upward bias, with 24 analyst EPS revisions upward over the past 30 days and an average 12-month target of $336.86.[5]
  • Texas Instruments posted third-quarter revenue of $6.06B and EPS of $2.62, subsequently guiding fourth-quarter expectations higher.[7],[10]
  • Strong demand in data centers (up ~90% YoY) and industrial markets (up >30% YoY) continues to drive analog chip momentum.[6]

What could go wrong

  • Insider selling totaled $8.24M over the past 90 days across 8 transactions, with zero insider open-market purchases recorded.[2]
  • Capital expenditures for internal 300mm analog fab capacity continue to pressure near-term free cash flow.[7]

How it connects

  • Texas Instruments Incagreed to acquireSilicon Laboratories[8]
  • Susquehannaraised price target to $340Texas Instruments Inc[4]
  • Ronald Kirksold 6,065 shares ofTexas Instruments Inc[2]
  • Robert E. Sanchezsold 5,588 shares ofTexas Instruments Inc[2]
  • Tsedeniya Abrahamsold 6,408 shares ofTexas Instruments Inc[2]

NVILE's track record on this page

MadeForecastActualResult
Nov 3, 2026$315.45Due Dec 3, 2026Pending

Every published call is scored when it comes due. See all results →

Sources

  1. 1.TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC 10-K (2026-02-06) · sec.gov
  2. 2.TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC insider transactions (SEC Form 4) · sec.gov
  3. 3.TXN daily short-sale volume (FINRA) · finra.org
  4. 4.Why Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Is Trading Up Today · theglobeandmail.com
  5. 5.TXN Wall Street consensus: estimates, revisions, ratings, targets · finance.yahoo.com
  6. 6.TI projects upbeat quarterly results on strong data center chip demand · reuters.com
  7. 7.Texas Instruments (TXN) Posts Strong Q3 And Higher Outlook, Is It Still Below Fair Value? · finance.yahoo.com
  8. 8.Silicon Labs Stock Soars. Why Texas Instruments Is Paying a Big Premium for the Acquisition. · barrons.com
  9. 9.Texas Instruments Posts Higher Second-Quarter Profit, Revenue as Sales Increase · wsj.com
  10. 10.Texas Instruments Tops Q3 Targets, Guides Above Q4 Views · msn.com

Questions

What is the Texas Instruments forecast for the next 30 days?

NVILE's models put Texas Instruments at about $315.45 in 30 days, +0.6% from $313.46. Over the next 30 days, Texas Instruments (TXN) has an estimated 80% price distribution range of $278.33 to $357.52, centered at $315.45 against a current price of $313.46. The calibrated model shows a 13% probability of a drop greater than 10% and an 18% probability of a rise exceeding 10%. With no directional skill inherent to price history alone, the outlook represents an event-volatility distribution rather than a guaranteed trajectory.

What price range does NVILE expect for Texas Instruments?

The forecast range is $278.33 to $357.52 over 30 days. Prices outside this range are possible; the range describes the model's scenarios, not a guarantee.

What could change the Texas Instruments outlook?

Insider selling totaled $8.24M over the past 90 days across 8 transactions, with zero insider open-market purchases recorded. Capital expenditures for internal 300mm analog fab capacity continue to pressure near-term free cash flow.

What should investors watch or do about Texas Instruments?

Manage exposure within the calibrated 30-day boundaries Hedge downside tail risk

How accurate are NVILE forecasts?

Every forecast NVILE publishes is scored against the real price when it comes due, and the results are listed on NVILE's public accuracy ledger.

This page is generated by NVILE's research models from public sources and market data. It is not financial advice, and forecasts can be wrong.